A combined risk analysis approach for complex dam–levee systems

a new approach to credibility premium for zero-inflated poisson models for panel data

هدف اصلی از این تحقیق به دست آوردن و مقایسه حق بیمه باورمندی در مدل های شمارشی گزارش نشده برای داده های طولی می باشد. در این تحقیق حق بیمه های پبش گویی بر اساس توابع ضرر مربع خطا و نمایی محاسبه شده و با هم مقایسه می شود. تمایل به گرفتن پاداش و جایزه یکی از دلایل مهم برای گزارش ندادن تصادفات می باشد و افراد برای استفاده از تخفیف اغلب از گزارش تصادفات با هزینه پائین خودداری می کنند، در این تحقیق ...

Security Risk Analysis for Complex Systems

Complex systems such as many Critical Infrastructures require new approaches in Risk Assessment and Management. In a complex system the emergent nature of much of its behaviour renders it difficult to enumerate the potential impacts of a range of scenarios. For Risk Assessment and Management a link must be made between the potential threat events and their final consequence. Given the complexit...

Systems Risk Analysis UsingHierarchical Modeling

A fresh look at the system analysis helped us in finding a new way of calculating the risks associated with the system. The author found that, due to the shortcomings of RPN, more researches needed to be done in this area to use RPNs as a new source of information for system risk analysis. It is the purpose of this article to investigate the fundamental concepts of failure modes and effects ana...

A Complex Systems Approach

a hybrid mathematical programming-fuzzy expert systems approach for improving combined cycle power plants’ operations

by developing the level of life in societies, the need for new resources of energy becomes more important. in almost all cases, the aim is to convert one form of energy to the electrical form. with advances of technology and use of new electric and electronic devices and gadgets, the need for electrical energy is increasing and providing stable and continuous electric power becomes very importa...